What are the chase cards in Shining Fates Shiny Vault?

Top chase: Charizard VMAX (Rare Holo VMAX) at $144.58. Other top hits: Ditto VMAX ($16), Ditto VMAX ($16), Yamper ($15).

What is the box expected value of Shining Fates Shiny Vault?

Estimated BOX expected value is ¥1,529 against an MSRP of ¥5,500 (ROI -72.2%). Computed from current Mercari/Yahoo/Card Rush prices and community-estimated pull rates.

Is Shining Fates Shiny Vault sold by lottery?

Most special-edition Japanese Pokemon TCG sets (high-class packs, anniversary boxes) are sold by lottery via Pokemon Center, Amazon, and Yodobashi. See our Lottery Monitor for resale premium and estimated win rates: https://cardgap.jp/en/lottery

Shining Fates Shiny Vault Pokemon Card List & Price Comparison | CardGap | Pokemon Card Market Price & Hit Card Rankings

📊

125

Card Count

🔥

2.0x

Avg Ratio

💎

2.4x

Max Ratio

📈

+1%

Avg 30d Change

🎁

Box Expected Value (EV)

Estimated value of pulling 1 box of "ふしぎなおくりもの V"

Box Price

¥5,500

Expected Value

¥1,529

Net Profit

¥3,971

ROI

-72.2%

⚠️ Statistically loss-making on average

Based on 30 packs/box. Rates are community estimates; actual values vary significantly per pull.

🌟 Top 5 Hit Cards

リザードンVMAX

Rare Holo VMAX

¥11,470

モルペコ

Rare Shiny

¥7,583

デデンネ

Rare Shiny

¥7,373

Ditto VMAX

Rare Holo VMAX

¥1,735

Yamper

Rare Shiny

¥1,651

📊 Rarity Breakdown

Rarity	Cards	Avg Price	Max	Pulls/Box	Expected Value
Rare Holo VMAX(8 cards)	8	¥470	¥11,470	1.5	¥705
Rare Holo V(9 cards)	9	¥114	¥543	6	¥684
Rare Shiny(106 cards)	106	¥175	¥7,583	0.8	¥140
TOTAL					¥1,529

⚠️ 注意事項:

出現率は公式非公開のため、コミュニティ統計を参考にした推定値です
実際のBOX開封結果は確率的にばらつき、必ずしも期待値通りにはなりません
カード相場は日々変動するため、期待値も変化します
レアリティ未取得のカードは計算から除外されています

🏆 Top Cards Ranking TOP10

Charizard VMAX

リザードンVMAX

Ditto VMAX

メタモンVMAX

Ditto VMAX

Yamper

Koffing

ドガース

Suicune

スイクン

Morpeko

モルペコ

Yamper

ワンパチ

Galarian Ponyta

Galarian Ponyta

ガラルポニータ

All Cards

#	カード	海外	日本	倍率	30日
1	Galarian Sirfetch'd Rare Shiny	$1.42	¥95	2.4x	0.0%
2	Copperajah Rare Shiny	$1.69	¥122	2.2x	0.0%
3	Galarian Rapidash Rare Shiny	$7.54	¥555	2.2x	0.0%
4	Indeedee V Rare Holo V	$1.24	¥93	2.1x	0.0%
5	Galarian Meowth Rare Shiny	$4.08	¥306	2.1x	0.0%
6	Greedent Rare Shiny	$1.61	¥121	2.1x	0.0%
7	Galarian Mr. Rime Rare Shiny	$1.10	¥83	2.1x	0.0%
8	Toxtricity VMAX Rare Holo VMAX	$3.60	¥272	2.1x	0.0%
9	Rotom Rare Shiny	$7.19	¥545	2.1x	0.0%
10	Ditto V Rare Holo V	$7.15	¥543	2.1x	0.0%
11	Corvisquire Rare Shiny	$2.33	¥177	2.1x	0.0%
12	Rillaboom VMAX Rare Holo VMAX	$2.26	¥172	2.1x	0.0%
13	Chewtle Rare Shiny	$2.03	¥155	2.1x	0.0%
14	Dragapult Rare Shiny	$2.16	¥165	2.1x	0.0%
15	Cinderace Rare Shiny	$5.28	¥404	2.1x	0.0%
16	Grimmsnarl VMAX Rare Holo VMAX	$3.96	¥304	2.1x	0.0%
17	Rillaboom V Rare Holo V	$1.25	¥96	2.1x	0.0%
18	Skwovet Rare Shiny	$1.84	¥142	2.1x	0.0%
19	Grapploct Rare Shiny	$1.71	¥132	2.1x	0.0%
20	Lapras VMAX Rare Holo VMAX	$8.23	¥636	2.1x	0.0%
21	Grimmsnarl Rare Shiny	$2.16	¥167	2.1x	0.0%
22	Sizzlipede Rare Shiny	$1.81	¥140	2.1x	0.0%
23	Galarian Obstagoon Rare Shiny	$2.97	¥230	2.1x	0.0%
24	Falinks Rare Shiny	$1.11	¥86	2.1x	0.0%
25	Cufant Rare Shiny	$2.05	¥159	2.1x	0.0%
26	Ditto VMAX Rare Holo VMAX	$15.88	¥1,232	2.1x	0.0%
27	Hatenna Rare Shiny	$3.08	¥239	2.1x	0.0%
28	Dottler Rare Shiny	$1.12	¥87	2.1x	0.0%
29	Gossifleur Rare Shiny	$2.07	¥161	2.0x	0.0%
30	Eternatus VMAX Rare Secret	$6.98	¥543	2.0x	0.0%
31	Arctovish Rare Shiny	$2.21	¥172	2.0x	0.0%
32	Carkol Rare Shiny	$1.45	¥113	2.0x	0.0%
33	Blipbug Rare Shiny	$1.55	¥121	2.0x	0.0%
34	Galarian Darmanitan Rare Shiny	$1.42	¥111	2.0x	0.0%
35	Nickit Rare Shiny	$1.97	¥154	2.0x	0.0%
36	Pincurchin Rare Shiny	$1.93	¥151	2.0x	0.0%
37	Centiskorch VMAX Rare Holo VMAX	$2.07	¥162	2.0x	0.0%
38	Galarian Weezing Rare Shiny	$3.51	¥275	2.0x	0.0%
39	Stonjourner Rare Shiny	$1.25	¥98	2.0x	0.0%
40	Centiskorch Rare Shiny	$2.13	¥167	2.0x	0.0%
41	Galarian Zigzagoon Rare Shiny	$1.53	¥120	2.0x	0.0%
42	Rillaboom Rare Shiny	$2.69	¥211	2.0x	0.0%
43	Galarian Runerigus Rare Shiny	$3.39	¥266	2.0x	0.0%
44	Dartrix Rare Shiny	$3.67	¥288	2.0x	0.0%
45	Toxtricity V Rare Holo V	$1.58	¥124	2.0x	0.0%
46	Impidimp Rare Shiny	$2.24	¥176	2.0x	0.0%
47	Silicobra Rare Shiny	$1.54	¥121	2.0x	0.0%
48	Hattrem Rare Shiny	$2.99	¥235	2.0x	0.0%
49	Alcremie Rare Shiny	$4.87	¥383	2.0x	0.0%
50	Minccino Rare Shiny	$5.81	¥457	2.0x	0.0%
51	Oranguru Rare Shiny	$1.50	¥118	2.0x	0.0%
52	Inteleon Rare Shiny	$4.70	¥370	2.0x	0.0%
53	Galarian Darumaka Rare Shiny	$1.88	¥148	2.0x	0.0%
54	Centiskorch V Rare Holo V	$1.27	¥100	2.0x	0.0%
55	Galarian Ponyta Rare Shiny	$11.03	¥869	2.0x	0.0%
56	Thwackey Rare Shiny	$2.41	¥190	2.0x	0.0%
57	Swanna Rare Shiny	$2.08	¥164	2.0x	0.0%
58	Snom Rare Shiny	$4.03	¥318	2.0x	0.0%
59	Galarian Stunfisk Rare Shiny	$1.47	¥116	2.0x	0.0%
60	Duraludon Rare Shiny	$2.47	¥195	2.0x	0.0%
61	Lapras V Rare Holo V	$3.63	¥287	2.0x	0.0%
62	Wooloo Rare Shiny	$2.58	¥204	2.0x	0.0%
63	Eiscue Rare Shiny	$3.25	¥257	2.0x	0.0%
64	Rolycoly Rare Shiny	$1.53	¥121	2.0x	0.0%
65	Drizzile Rare Shiny	$3.59	¥284	2.0x	0.0%
66	Applin Rare Shiny	$5.84	¥462	2.0x	0.0%
67	Boltund Rare Shiny	$2.21	¥175	2.0x	0.0%
68	Dracozolt Rare Shiny	$2.50	¥198	2.0x	0.0%
69	Galarian Farfetch'd Rare Shiny	$2.79	¥221	2.0x	0.0%
70	Koffing Rare Shiny	$14.89	¥1,181	2.0x	0.0%
71	Milcery Rare Shiny	$4.40	¥349	2.0x	0.0%
72	Indeedee Rare Shiny	$2.08	¥165	2.0x	0.0%
73	Clobbopus Rare Shiny	$1.79	¥142	2.0x	0.0%
74	Charizard VMAX Rare Holo VMAX	$144.58	¥11,470	2.0x	0.0%
75	Coalossal Rare Shiny	$1.55	¥123	2.0x	0.0%
76	Barraskewda Rare Shiny	$1.55	¥123	2.0x	0.0%
77	Yamper Rare Shiny	$11.68	¥927	2.0x	0.0%
78	Thievul Rare Shiny	$1.65	¥131	2.0x	0.0%
79	Galarian Yamask Rare Shiny	$1.65	¥131	2.0x	0.0%
80	Decidueye Rare Shiny	$4.71	¥374	2.0x	0.0%
81	Bunnelby Rare Shiny	$1.02	¥81	2.0x	0.0%
82	Ducklett Rare Shiny	$3.16	¥251	2.0x	0.0%
83	Drakloak Rare Shiny	$3.89	¥309	2.0x	0.0%
84	Rowlet Rare Shiny	$2.87	¥228	2.0x	0.0%
85	Eldegoss Rare Shiny	$1.46	¥116	2.0x	0.0%
86	Morgrem Rare Shiny	$1.95	¥155	2.0x	0.0%
87	Drednaw Rare Shiny	$1.86	¥148	2.0x	0.0%
88	Frosmoth Rare Shiny	$3.09	¥246	2.0x	0.0%
89	Galarian Mr. Mime Rare Shiny	$1.62	¥129	2.0x	0.0%
90	Toxtricity Rare Shiny	$1.43	¥114	2.0x	0.0%
91	Flapple Rare Shiny	$3.11	¥248	2.0x	0.0%
92	Arrokuda Rare Shiny	$1.44	¥115	2.0x	0.0%
93	Grimmsnarl V Rare Holo V	$1.49	¥119	2.0x	0.0%
94	Galarian Perrserker Rare Shiny	$2.19	¥175	2.0x	0.0%
95	Cramorant Rare Shiny	$1.10	¥88	2.0x	0.0%
96	Raboot Rare Shiny	$4.66	¥373	2.0x	0.0%
97	Polteageist Rare Shiny	$1.16	¥93	2.0x	0.0%
98	Toxel Rare Shiny	$3.64	¥292	2.0x	0.0%
99	Grookey Rare Shiny	$1.78	¥143	2.0x	0.0%
100	Corviknight Rare Shiny	$1.07	¥86	2.0x	0.0%
101	Dreepy Rare Shiny	$5.21	¥420	2.0x	0.0%
102	Sandaconda Rare Shiny	$1.55	¥125	2.0x	0.0%
103	Galarian Corsola Rare Shiny	$2.17	¥175	2.0x	0.0%
104	Galarian Cursola Rare Shiny	$1.81	¥146	2.0x	0.0%
105	Galarian Linoone Rare Shiny	$2.07	¥167	2.0x	0.0%
106	Dubwool Rare Shiny	$1.41	¥114	2.0x	0.0%
107	Cinccino Rare Shiny	$6.47	¥524	2.0x	0.0%
108	Sinistea Rare Shiny	$3.06	¥248	2.0x	0.0%
109	Sobble Rare Shiny	$1.62	¥132	2.0x	0.0%
110	Dubwool V Rare Holo V	$1.14	¥93	2.0x	0.0%
111	Dracovish Rare Shiny	$2.91	¥239	1.9x	0.0%
112	Hatterene Rare Shiny	$2.13	¥175	1.9x	0.0%
113	Rookidee Rare Shiny	$2.24	¥185	1.9x	0.0%
114	Scorbunny Rare Shiny	$3.00	¥248	1.9x	0.0%
115	Orbeetle Rare Shiny	$1.81	¥150	1.9x	0.0%
116	Falinks V Rare Holo V	$1.37	¥114	1.9x	0.0%
117	Eternatus V Rare Secret	$5.72	¥477	1.9x	0.0%
118	Yamper Rare Shiny	$15.06	¥1,651	1.5x	+33.4%
119	Galarian Ponyta Rare Shiny	$11.61	¥1,273	1.5x	+33.3%
120	Suicune Rare Shiny	$13.78	¥1,511	1.5x	+33.4%
121	Ditto VMAX Rare Holo VMAX	$15.56	¥1,735	1.4x	+33.3%
122	Appletun Rare Shiny	$5.05	¥565	1.4x	0.0%
123	Arctozolt Rare Shiny	$4.11	¥1,016	0.6x	0.0%
124	Morpeko Rare Shiny	$12.33	¥7,583	0.3x	0.0%
125	Dedenne Rare Shiny	$3.46	¥7,373	0.1x	0.0%