What are the chase cards in Twilight Masquerade?

Top chase: Greninja ex (Special Illustration Rare) at $379.78. Other top hits: Greninja ex ($361), Greninja (Special Illustration Rare) ($360), Perrin ($183).

What is the box expected value of Twilight Masquerade?

Estimated BOX expected value is ¥5,488 against an MSRP of ¥5,500 (ROI -0.2%). Computed from current Mercari/Yahoo/Card Rush prices and community-estimated pull rates.

Is Twilight Masquerade sold by lottery?

Most special-edition Japanese Pokemon TCG sets (high-class packs, anniversary boxes) are sold by lottery via Pokemon Center, Amazon, and Yodobashi. See our Lottery Monitor for resale premium and estimated win rates: https://cardgap.jp/en/lottery

Twilight Masquerade Pokemon Card List & Price Comparison | CardGap | Pokemon Card Market Price & Hit Card Rankings

📊

102

Card Count

🔥

3.9x

Avg Ratio

💎

83.1x

Max Ratio

📈

+8%

Avg 30d Change

🎁

Box Expected Value (EV)

Estimated value of pulling 1 box of "変幻の仮面"

Box Price

¥5,500

Expected Value

¥5,488

Net Profit

¥12

ROI

-0.2%

⚠️ Statistically loss-making on average

Based on 30 packs/box. Rates are community estimates; actual values vary significantly per pull.

🌟 Top 5 Hit Cards

(CD付未開封)サトシゲッコウガEX

¥160,000

ゲッコウガex

Special Illustration Rare

¥43,775

ゲッコウガ

Special Illustration Rare

¥42,359

ゲッコウガex

Ultra Rare

¥39,277

ゲッコウガex

Double Rare

¥39,277

📊 Rarity Breakdown

Rarity	Cards	Avg Price	Max	Pulls/Box	Expected Value
Illustration Rare(28 cards)	28	¥764	¥10,730	3	¥2,292
Special Illustration Rare(22 cards)	22	¥2,503	¥43,775	0.6	¥1,502
Double Rare(14 cards)	14	¥77	¥39,277	8	¥612
Ultra Rare(21 cards)	21	¥331	¥39,277	1.5	¥497
ACE SPEC Rare(3 cards)	3	¥728	¥1,737	0.5	¥364
Hyper Rare(6 cards)	6	¥442	¥3,608	0.5	¥221
TOTAL					¥5,488

⚠️ 注意事項:

出現率は公式非公開のため、コミュニティ統計を参考にした推定値です
実際のBOX開封結果は確率的にばらつき、必ずしも期待値通りにはなりません
カード相場は日々変動するため、期待値も変化します
レアリティ未取得のカードは計算から除外されています

🏆 Top Cards Ranking TOP10

Greninja ex

ゲッコウガ

Special Illustration Rare

Greninja ex

ゲッコウガex

Special Illustration Rare

Greninja (Special Illustration Rare)

(CD付未開封)サトシゲッコウガEX

Perrin

ケンシン

Special Illustration Rare

Perrin

ゼロミ

Special Illustration Rare

Eevee

イーブイ

Carmine (Special Illustration Rare)

スグリ

Carmine

スグリ

Special Illustration Rare

Carmine

ゼイユ

Special Illustration Rare

Chansey

ラッキー

All Cards

#	カード	海外	日本	倍率	30日
1	Perrin Special Illustration Rare	$172.13	¥330	83.1x	0.0%
2	Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex Special Illustration Rare	$11.41	¥46	39.5x	0.0%
3	Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex Special Illustration Rare	$19.30	¥81	38.0x	0.0%
4	Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon ex Special Illustration Rare	$15.01	¥75	31.9x	0.0%
5	Kieran Special Illustration Rare	$29.65	¥261	18.1x	0.0%
6	Lana's Aid Special Illustration Rare	$34.13	¥401	13.6x	0.0%
7	Blissey ex Ultra Rare	$3.18	¥60	8.4x	0.0%
8	Scream Tail ex Ultra Rare	$2.38	¥54	7.0x	0.0%
9	Iron Thorns ex Ultra Rare	$2.07	¥49	6.7x	0.0%
10	Luxray ex Ultra Rare	$2.17	¥57	6.1x	0.0%
11	Magcargo ex Ultra Rare	$1.54	¥46	5.3x	0.0%
12	Tatsugiri Illustration Rare	$20.00	¥770	4.1x	0.0%
13	Teal Mask Ogerpon ex Hyper Rare	$8.93	¥372	3.8x	0.0%
14	Carmine (Special Illustration Rare) SAR	$75.85	¥3,200	3.8x	+10.6%
15	Sinistcha (Special Illustration Rare) SAR	$22.69	¥1,200	3.0x	0.0%
16	Sinistcha ex Special Illustration Rare	$22.51	¥1,230	2.9x	0.0%
17	Chimecho Illustration Rare	$4.01	¥300	2.1x	0.0%
18	Applin Illustration Rare	$8.04	¥604	2.1x	0.0%
19	Legacy Energy ACE SPEC Rare	$2.38	¥179	2.1x	0.0%
20	Froslass Illustration Rare	$9.50	¥722	2.1x	0.0%
21	Jamming Tower Uncommon	$0.52	¥40	2.1x	0.0%
22	Hassel Ultra Rare	$1.11	¥86	2.1x	0.0%
23	Poltchageist Illustration Rare	$3.93	¥305	2.1x	0.0%
24	Cramorant Illustration Rare	$4.16	¥326	2.0x	0.0%
25	Pinsir Illustration Rare	$12.13	¥952	2.0x	0.0%
26	Phione Illustration Rare	$10.41	¥820	2.0x	0.0%
27	Bug Catching Set Uncommon	$0.52	¥41	2.0x	0.0%
28	Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon ex Double Rare	$0.86	¥68	2.0x	0.0%
29	Scream Tail ex Double Rare	$0.67	¥53	2.0x	0.0%
30	Sunflora Illustration Rare	$5.94	¥470	2.0x	0.0%
31	Lairon Illustration Rare	$4.84	¥384	2.0x	0.0%
32	Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex Ultra Rare	$2.04	¥162	2.0x	0.0%
33	Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex Double Rare	$1.07	¥85	2.0x	0.0%
34	Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex Ultra Rare	$3.94	¥313	2.0x	0.0%
35	Blissey ex Double Rare	$0.78	¥62	2.0x	0.0%
36	Hisuian Growlithe Illustration Rare	$24.85	¥1,976	2.0x	0.0%
37	Teal Mask Ogerpon ex Double Rare	$4.15	¥330	2.0x	0.0%
38	Teal Mask Ogerpon ex Special Illustration Rare	$23.39	¥1,860	2.0x	0.0%
39	Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex Special Illustration Rare	$40.54	¥3,224	2.0x	0.0%
40	Teal Mask Ogerpon ex Ultra Rare	$7.62	¥606	2.0x	0.0%
41	Perrin Ultra Rare	$4.16	¥331	2.0x	0.0%
42	Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon ex Ultra Rare	$4.41	¥351	2.0x	0.0%
43	Luxray ex Double Rare	$0.69	¥55	2.0x	0.0%
44	Enhanced Hammer Hyper Rare	$5.32	¥425	2.0x	0.0%
45	Heliolisk Illustration Rare	$4.63	¥370	2.0x	0.0%
46	Iron Thorns ex Double Rare	$0.55	¥44	2.0x	0.0%
47	Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex Double Rare	$0.55	¥44	2.0x	0.0%
48	Magcargo ex Double Rare	$0.56	¥45	2.0x	0.0%
49	Luminous Energy Hyper Rare	$5.64	¥458	2.0x	0.0%
50	Enamorus Illustration Rare	$5.97	¥485	2.0x	0.0%
51	Lucian Ultra Rare	$1.40	¥115	1.9x	0.0%
52	Wattrel Illustration Rare	$3.94	¥324	1.9x	0.0%
53	Torkoal Illustration Rare	$4.43	¥365	1.9x	0.0%
54	Dipplin Illustration Rare	$9.12	¥758	1.9x	0.0%
55	Probopass Illustration Rare	$3.99	¥332	1.9x	0.0%
56	Timburr Illustration Rare	$5.03	¥421	1.9x	0.0%
57	Caretaker Ultra Rare	$0.73	¥62	1.9x	0.0%
58	Rescue Board Hyper Rare	$2.71	¥232	1.9x	0.0%
59	Secret Box ACE SPEC Rare	$8.34	¥728	1.8x	0.0%
60	Ogerpon (Special Illustration Rare) SAR	$24.56	¥2,400	1.6x	0.0%
61	Froslass Illustration Rare	$10.75	¥1,178	1.5x	+33.4%
62	Pinsir Illustration Rare	$16.28	¥1,815	1.4x	+33.3%
63	Unfair Stamp ACE SPEC Rare	$15.58	¥1,737	1.4x	+33.3%
64	Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon ex Special Illustration Rare	$15.58	¥1,737	1.4x	+33.3%
65	Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex Special Illustration Rare	$12.00	¥1,338	1.4x	+33.3%
66	Phione Illustration Rare	$12.52	¥1,396	1.4x	+33.3%
67	Tatsugiri Illustration Rare	$22.86	¥2,549	1.4x	+33.4%
68	Infernape Illustration Rare	$14.42	¥1,608	1.4x	+33.4%
69	Teal Mask Ogerpon ex Special Illustration Rare	$28.31	¥3,157	1.4x	+33.3%
70	Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex Special Illustration Rare	$46.28	¥5,161	1.4x	+33.3%
71	Sinistcha ex Special Illustration Rare	$27.09	¥3,021	1.4x	+33.3%
72	Hisuian Growlithe Illustration Rare	$33.60	¥3,747	1.4x	+33.3%
73	Applin Illustration Rare	$12.24	¥1,365	1.4x	+33.3%
74	Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex Special Illustration Rare	$17.79	¥1,984	1.4x	+33.4%
75	Eevee Illustration Rare	$96.21	¥10,730	1.4x	+33.3%
76	Dipplin Illustration Rare	$13.62	¥1,519	1.4x	+33.4%
77	Carmine Special Illustration Rare	$75.63	¥8,435	1.4x	+33.3%
78	Lana's Aid Special Illustration Rare	$36.60	¥4,082	1.4x	+33.3%
79	Perrin Special Illustration Rare	$183.22	¥20,435	1.4x	+33.3%
80	Buddy-Buddy Poffin Hyper Rare	$13.70	¥1,528	1.4x	+33.4%
81	Kieran Special Illustration Rare	$34.77	¥3,878	1.4x	+33.3%
82	Greninja ex Special Illustration Rare	$379.78	¥42,359	1.4x	+33.3%
83	Chansey Illustration Rare	$65.27	¥7,280	1.4x	+33.3%
84	Greninja ex Special Illustration Rare	$361.38	¥43,775	1.3x	0.0%
85	Growlithe (Illustration Rare) P	$24.57	¥3,500	1.1x	0.0%
86	Dragapult ex Ultra Rare	$15.25	¥2,374	1.0x	0.0%
87	Carmine Special Illustration Rare	$70.99	¥17,430	0.6x	0.0%
88	Kieran Ultra Rare	$3.42	¥1,268	0.4x	0.0%
89	Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex Hyper Rare	$8.32	¥3,608	0.4x	0.0%
90	Greninja (Special Illustration Rare) P	$359.84	¥160,000	0.4x	0.0%
91	Kieran (Special Illustration Rare) SAR	$32.27	¥21,000	0.2x	+2.1%
92	Dragapult ex Double Rare	$2.12	¥1,506	0.2x	0.0%
93	Sinistcha ex Ultra Rare	$1.35	¥1,230	0.2x	0.0%
94	Lana's Aid Ultra Rare	$4.80	¥4,392	0.2x	0.0%
95	Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex Ultra Rare	$3.17	¥3,608	0.1x	0.0%
96	Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex Double Rare	$2.52	¥3,608	0.1x	0.0%
97	Sinistcha ex Double Rare	$0.56	¥1,230	0.1x	0.0%
98	Carmine Ultra Rare	$7.23	¥17,779	0.1x	0.0%
99	Palafin ex Double Rare	$0.73	¥1,877	0.1x	0.0%
100	Palafin ex Ultra Rare	$1.82	¥5,418	0.1x	0.0%
101	Greninja ex Ultra Rare	$12.32	¥39,277	0.0x	0.0%
102	Greninja ex Double Rare	$1.29	¥39,277	0.0x	0.0%

Card Gallery

Luminous Energy

$5.64

Rescue Board

$2.71

Enhanced Hammer

$5.32

Buddy-Buddy Poffin

$13.70

Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex

$8.32

Teal Mask Ogerpon ex

$8.93

Perrin

$172.13

Lana's Aid

$34.13

Kieran

$29.65

Carmine

$70.99

Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex

$40.54

Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon ex

$15.01

Greninja ex

$361.38

Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex

$19.30

Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex

$11.41

Teal Mask Ogerpon ex

$23.39

Sinistcha ex

$22.51

Perrin

$4.16

Lucian

$1.40

Lana's Aid

$4.80

Kieran

$3.42

Hassel

$1.11

Carmine

$7.23

Caretaker

$0.73

Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex

$3.17

Blissey ex

$3.18

Dragapult ex

$15.25

Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon ex

$4.41

Greninja ex

$12.32

Scream Tail ex

$2.38

Iron Thorns ex

$2.07

Luxray ex

$2.17

Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex

$3.94

Palafin ex

$1.82

Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex

$2.04

Magcargo ex

$1.54

Teal Mask Ogerpon ex

$7.62

Sinistcha ex

$1.35

Eevee

$96.21

Chansey

$65.27

Tatsugiri

$20.00

Applin

$8.04

Lairon

$4.84

Timburr

$5.03

Probopass

$3.99

Hisuian Growlithe

$24.85

Enamorus

$5.97

Chimecho

$4.01

Wattrel

$3.94

Heliolisk

$4.63

Cramorant

$4.16

Phione

$10.41

Froslass

$9.50

Infernape

$14.42

Torkoal

$4.43

Poltchageist

$3.93

Dipplin

$9.12

Sunflora

$5.94

Pinsir

$12.13

Legacy Energy

$2.38

Unfair Stamp

$15.58

Secret Box

$8.34

Jamming Tower

$0.52

Bug Catching Set

$0.52

Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex

$2.52

Blissey ex

$0.78

Dragapult ex

$2.12

Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon ex

$0.86

Greninja ex

$1.29

Scream Tail ex

$0.67

Iron Thorns ex

$0.55

Luxray ex

$0.69

Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex

$1.07

Palafin ex

$0.73

Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex

$0.55

Magcargo ex

$0.56

Teal Mask Ogerpon ex

$4.15

Sinistcha ex

$0.56

Greninja (Special Illustration Rare)

$359.84

Kieran (Special Illustration Rare)

$32.27

Growlithe (Illustration Rare)

$24.57

Carmine (Special Illustration Rare)

$75.85

Pinsir

$16.28

Dipplin

$13.62

Froslass

$10.75

Phione

$12.52

Hisuian Growlithe

$33.60

Applin

$12.24

Tatsugiri

$22.86

Teal Mask Ogerpon ex

$28.31

Sinistcha ex

$27.09

Greninja ex

$379.78

Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon ex

$12.00

Wellspring Mask Ogerpon ex

$17.79

Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon ex

$15.58

Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex

$46.28

Kieran

$34.77

Lana's Aid

$36.60

Carmine

$75.63

Perrin

$183.22

Ogerpon (Special Illustration Rare)

$24.56

Sinistcha (Special Illustration Rare)

$22.69