ONE PIECE TCG · BOX EV · BOX期待値
BOX EV
The OPCG Box EV = sum of (median price × expected pulls per box) for high rarities (SR / L / SEC / SP / TR). Bandai guarantees 1 SR-or-better per pack and 1 Leader per box, so EV is concentrated in those slots. Recent sets routinely run +500% to +1,000% in primary-market conditions.
Analyzed20sets
+EV19profitable
MEDIAN ROI+555%all sets
BEST+1683%OP15-EB04
ALL SETS · ranked by ROIUPDATED 2026-05-11 · 24 packs / box
| # | SET | BOX (¥) | EV (¥) | PROFIT | ROI | TOP HIT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | OP15-EB04 Adventure on Kami's Island · 201 cards (100% priced) | ¥4,800 | ¥85,601 | +¥80,801 | +1683% |  Enel (OP15-118) (Manga) [SEC] · ¥188,243 |
| 02 | EB-02 Extra Booster: Anime 25th Collection · 105 cards (100% priced) | ¥4,800 | ¥71,523 | +¥66,723 | +1390% |  Monkey.D.Luffy (061) (Manga) [SEC] · ¥379,469 |
| 03 | EB-03 Extra Booster: One Piece Heroines Edition · 94 cards (100% priced) | ¥4,800 | ¥66,778 | +¥61,978 | +1291% |  Uta (061) (Manga) [SEC] · ¥200,324 |
| 04 | OP-13 Carrying On His Will · 174 cards (100% priced) | ¥6,000 | ¥54,438 | +¥48,438 | +807% |  Monkey.D.Luffy (118) (Red Super Alternate Art) [SEC] · ¥1,332,927 |
| 05 | EB-01 Extra Booster: Memorial Collection · 80 cards (100% priced) | ¥4,800 | ¥43,224 | +¥38,424 | +801% |  Tony Tony.Chopper (Alternate Art) (Manga) [SR] · ¥270,115 |
| 06 | OP-07 500 Years in the Future · 151 cards (100% priced) | ¥6,000 | ¥46,779 | +¥40,779 | +680% |  Boa Hancock (051) (Parallel) (Manga) [SR] · ¥264,942 |
| 07 | OP-12 Legacy of the Master · 155 cards (100% priced) | ¥6,000 | ¥39,473 | +¥33,473 | +558% |  Marshall.D.Teach (SP) (Gold) [SR] · ¥203,059 |
| 08 | OP14-EB04 The Azure Sea's Seven · 200 cards (100% priced) | ¥4,800 | ¥29,317 | +¥24,517 | +511% |  Dracule Mihawk (Manga) [SEC] · ¥111,555 |
| 09 | OP-05 Awakening of the New Era · 154 cards (100% priced) | ¥6,000 | ¥34,970 | +¥28,970 | +483% |  Monkey.D.Luffy (119) (Alternate Art) (Manga) [SEC] · ¥614,790 |
| 10 | OP-09 Emperors in the New World · 159 cards (100% priced) | ¥6,000 | ¥32,400 | +¥26,400 | +440% |  Gol.D.Roger (Manga) [SEC] · ¥459,855 |
| 11 | OP-01 Romance Dawn · 154 cards (100% priced) | ¥6,000 | ¥28,349 | +¥22,349 | +372% |  Shanks (Parallel) (Manga) (Alternate Art) [SEC] · ¥240,650 |
| 12 | OP-11 A Fist of Divine Speed · 156 cards (100% priced) | ¥6,000 | ¥27,070 | +¥21,070 | +351% |  Monkey.D.Luffy (119) (SP) (Gold) [SEC] · ¥635,616 |
| 13 | OP-02 Paramount War · 154 cards (100% priced) | ¥6,000 | ¥26,238 | +¥20,238 | +337% |  Portgas.D.Ace (Parallel) (Manga) (Alternate Art) [SR] · ¥189,047 |
| 14 | OP-10 Royal Blood · 151 cards (100% priced) | ¥6,000 | ¥25,150 | +¥19,150 | +319% |  Trafalgar Law (119) (Manga) [SEC] · ¥128,238 |
| 15 | OP-08 Two Legends · 151 cards (100% priced) | ¥6,000 | ¥23,175 | +¥17,175 | +286% |  Silvers Rayleigh (Parallel) (Manga) [SEC] · ¥102,075 |
| 16 | OP-06 Wings of the Captain · 151 cards (100% priced) | ¥6,000 | ¥21,618 | +¥15,618 | +260% |  Roronoa Zoro (Alternate Art) (Manga) [SEC] · ¥294,493 |
| 17 | OP-04 Kingdoms of Intrigue · 155 cards (100% priced) | ¥6,000 | ¥20,169 | +¥14,169 | +236% |  Sabo (Alternate Art) (Manga) [SR] · ¥117,337 |
| 18 | PRB-01 Premium Booster -The Best- · 317 cards (100% priced) | ¥6,600 | ¥18,261 | +¥11,661 | +177% |  Monkey.D.Luffy (OP05-119) (Manga) [SEC] · ¥570,433 |
| 19 | OP-03 Pillars of Strength · 154 cards (100% priced) | ¥6,000 | ¥15,214 | +¥9,214 | +154% |  Sogeking (Alternate Art) (Manga) [SEC] · ¥122,790 |
| 20 | PRB-02 Premium Booster -The Best- Vol. 2 · 314 cards (100% priced) | ¥6,600 | ¥4,636 | ¥1,964 | -30% |  Sanji - OP06-119 (Manga) [SEC] · ¥300,810 |
METHODOLOGY · 計算方法
- Pull rates per box (community estimates): SR ≈ 22, L = 1, SEC ≈ 0.5, SP ≈ 0.3, TR ≈ 0.02. Bandai's spec: 1 SR-or-better per pack, 1 Leader per box.
- Box price assumptions: OP-XX = ¥6,000; EB-XX = ¥4,800; PRB-XX = ¥6,600. Reseller premiums (¥7,000+ on launch day) not included.
- Price source priority: Mercari/Yahoo JP sold medians first; falls back to TCGPlayer USD × FX (¥157/USD) when JP data is missing. OPCG JP price coverage is still expanding — USD-fallback rows skew higher because the overseas market carries scarcity premiums.
- Caveats: Theoretical EV — single-box variance is enormous. After Bandai reprints (typical 3–6 month lag), singles tend to crash 30–60%. Sleeves, grading, and shipping not included. Trade execution risk on illiquid SECs.
See also: /onepiece (price index) · /onepiece/arbitrage (JP↔EN spread) · /box-ev (Pokemon TCG version)