How is Pokemon TCG box expected value calculated?

Box EV = sum of (average card price × expected pulls per box) for each rarity tier. Pull rates are community estimates based on 30 packs/box.

Which Pokemon TCG set has the best expected value?

151 currently has the highest ROI at +847.6% based on live market prices.

Updated2026-05-11

🎁 BOX EV Calculator

Compare 56 Pokémon TCG booster sets by expected value. Find out which box statistically gives the best return on investment based on live market prices.

Sets Analyzed

Avg ROI

+161.9%

Best Box

+848%

Profitable Sets

40 / 56

⚠️ Important： Pull rates are community estimates. Actual results vary significantly. Not financial advice.

✅Profitable Sets (40)

#	Set	BOX ¥	EV ¥	P/L	ROI%	Top Hit
1	151 109 cards w/ price / 109 total	¥5,500	¥52,120	+¥46,620	+847.6%	ニドキング ¥300,000
2	Team Rocket Returns 57 cards w/ price / 57 total	¥5,500	¥48,880	+¥43,380	+788.7%	ひかるミュウツー ¥2,400,000
3	Crown Zenith 54 cards w/ price / 54 total	¥5,500	¥38,623	+¥33,123	+602.2%	リザードン ¥100,000
4	Cosmic Eclipse 228 cards w/ price / 228 total	¥5,500	¥36,765	+¥31,265	+568.5%	ミミッキュ ¥200,000
5	Crown Zenith Galarian Gallery 97 cards w/ price / 97 total	¥5,500	¥35,134	+¥29,634	+538.8%	エンテイ ¥500,000
6	Black Bolt 111 cards w/ price / 111 total	¥5,500	¥33,146	+¥27,646	+502.7%	ゼクロムGX ¥2,500,000
7	White Flare 136 cards w/ price / 136 total	¥5,500	¥31,809	+¥26,309	+478.3%	レシラム ¥400,000
8	ホワイトフレア 174 cards w/ price / 174 total	¥5,500	¥31,254	+¥25,754	+468.3%	レシラムex ¥46,060
9	Team Up 162 cards w/ price / 162 total	¥5,500	¥26,582	+¥21,082	+383.3%	ひかるコイキング ¥5,500,000
10	Chilling Reign 115 cards w/ price / 115 total	¥5,500	¥25,084	+¥19,584	+356.1%	メタグロス ¥550,000
11	Brilliant Stars 69 cards w/ price / 69 total	¥5,500	¥24,414	+¥18,914	+343.9%	ミミッキュ ¥200,000
12	ブラックボルト 174 cards w/ price / 174 total	¥5,500	¥22,329	+¥16,829	+306.0%	ビクティニ ¥96,333
13	Destined Rivals 108 cards w/ price / 108 total	¥5,500	¥21,932	+¥16,432	+298.8%	ロケット団参上! ¥1,000,000
14	Shrouded Fable 59 cards w/ price / 59 total	¥5,500	¥21,741	+¥16,241	+295.3%	ペルシアン ¥400,000
15	Ultra Prism 137 cards w/ price / 137 total	¥5,500	¥19,671	+¥14,171	+257.7%	リーリエ ¥7,500,000
16	Unified Minds 178 cards w/ price / 178 total	¥5,500	¥19,539	+¥14,039	+255.3%	ライチュウ ¥1,400,000
17	Celestial Storm 129 cards w/ price / 129 total	¥5,500	¥18,229	+¥12,729	+231.4%	ラティオス ¥300,000
18	Temporal Forces 101 cards w/ price / 101 total	¥5,500	¥17,038	+¥11,538	+209.8%	メタグロス ¥550,000
19	Forbidden Light 116 cards w/ price / 116 total	¥5,500	¥16,615	+¥11,115	+202.1%	ジガルデEX ¥45,000
20	Prismatic Evolutions 105 cards w/ price / 105 total	¥5,500	¥16,235	+¥10,735	+195.2%	シャワーズ ¥350,000
21	Unbroken Bonds 175 cards w/ price / 175 total	¥5,500	¥15,997	+¥10,497	+190.9%	ニンフィアEX ¥200,000
22	Sun & Moon 67 cards w/ price / 67 total	¥5,500	¥15,285	+¥9,785	+177.9%	リーリエ ¥100,000
23	Dragon Majesty 85 cards w/ price / 85 total	¥5,500	¥14,682	+¥9,182	+166.9%	ビクティニ ¥100,000
24	Lost Thunder 210 cards w/ price / 210 total	¥5,500	¥13,417	+¥7,917	+143.9%	ツボツボ ¥95,000
25	クリムゾンヘイズ 96 cards w/ price / 96 total	¥5,500	¥12,044	+¥6,544	+119.0%	ウッウ ¥58,392
26	超電ブレイカー 106 cards w/ price / 106 total	¥5,500	¥12,004	+¥6,504	+118.3%	ビクティニ ¥96,333
27	バトルパートナーズ 132 cards w/ price / 132 total	¥5,500	¥11,592	+¥6,092	+110.8%	リーリエのピッピex ¥60,762
28	Journey Together 59 cards w/ price / 59 total	¥5,500	¥11,405	+¥5,905	+107.4%	フリーザー ¥110,000
29	楽園ドラゴーナ 94 cards w/ price / 94 total	¥5,500	¥11,108	+¥5,608	+102.0%	コレクレー ¥67,972
30	熱風のアリーナ 92 cards w/ price / 92 total	¥5,500	¥10,164	+¥4,664	+84.8%	シロナのガブリアスex ¥35,251
31	ロケット団の栄光 98 cards w/ price / 98 total	¥5,500	¥10,064	+¥4,564	+83.0%	アチャモ ¥17,122
32	ステラミラクル 135 cards w/ price / 135 total	¥5,500	¥9,988	+¥4,488	+81.6%	タロ ¥15,350
33	テラスタルフェスex 237 cards w/ price / 237 total	¥6,300	¥11,016	+¥4,716	+74.9%	ブラッキーex ¥72,916
34	Paldean Fates 170 cards w/ price / 170 total	¥6,300	¥9,322	+¥3,022	+48.0%	ミュウex ¥1,000,000
35	変幻の仮面 101 cards w/ price / 101 total	¥5,500	¥7,412	+¥1,912	+34.8%	ラッキー ¥55,682
36	Paldea Evolved 143 cards w/ price / 143 total	¥5,500	¥6,522	+¥1,022	+18.6%	バンギラス ¥1,800,000
37	Burning Shadows 90 cards w/ price / 90 total	¥5,500	¥6,476	+¥976	+17.7%	アセロラ ¥1,500,000
38	Paradox Rift 128 cards w/ price / 128 total	¥5,500	¥6,241	+¥741	+13.5%	パチリス ¥2,500,000
39	Scarlet & Violet 93 cards w/ price / 93 total	¥5,500	¥6,084	+¥584	+10.6%	ギャラドス ¥250,000
40	Surging Sparks 95 cards w/ price / 95 total	¥5,500	¥5,726	+¥226	+4.1%	ピカチュウex ¥320,000

⚠️Loss Sets (16)

#	Set	BOX ¥	EV ¥	P/L	ROI%	Top Hit
1	Twilight Masquerade 102 cards w/ price / 102 total	¥5,500	¥5,413	¥87	-1.6%	(CD付未開封)サトシゲッコウガEX ¥160,000
2	Stellar Crown 62 cards w/ price / 62 total	¥6,300	¥5,384	¥916	-14.5%	ゲッコウガex ¥39,277
3	Obsidian Flames 63 cards w/ price / 63 total	¥5,500	¥4,533	¥967	-17.6%	ミライドンex ¥135,000
4	Hidden Fates Shiny Vault 100 cards w/ price / 100 total	¥5,500	¥4,339	¥1,161	-21.1%	リザードンGX ¥301,892
5	Rebel Clash 109 cards w/ price / 109 total	¥5,500	¥4,085	¥1,415	-25.7%	コイキング ¥32,445
6	Guardians Rising 100 cards w/ price / 100 total	¥5,500	¥3,792	¥1,708	-31.1%	レックウザ ¥35,767
7	Astral Radiance 104 cards w/ price / 104 total	¥5,500	¥3,000	¥2,500	-45.5%	カイリキー LV.54 ¥300,000
8	Crimson Invasion 67 cards w/ price / 67 total	¥5,500	¥2,924	¥2,576	-46.8%	ルザミーネ ¥140,000
9	Sword & Shield 89 cards w/ price / 89 total	¥5,500	¥2,426	¥3,074	-55.9%	カビゴン ¥200,000
10	Darkness Ablaze 64 cards w/ price / 64 total	¥5,500	¥1,896	¥3,604	-65.5%	リザードンVMAX ¥1,200,000
11	Battle Styles 72 cards w/ price / 72 total	¥5,500	¥1,769	¥3,731	-67.8%	バンギラス ¥1,800,000
12	Fusion Strike 78 cards w/ price / 78 total	¥5,500	¥1,547	¥3,953	-71.9%	ゲンガー ¥120,000
13	Shining Fates Shiny Vault 125 cards w/ price / 125 total	¥5,500	¥1,529	¥3,971	-72.2%	スイクン ¥400,000
14	Silver Tempest 82 cards w/ price / 82 total	¥5,500	¥1,342	¥4,158	-75.6%	ルギア ¥120,000
15	Vivid Voltage 78 cards w/ price / 78 total	¥5,500	¥1,267	¥4,233	-77.0%	ピカチュウV ¥59,911
16	Lost Origin 78 cards w/ price / 78 total	¥5,500	¥1,122	¥4,378	-79.6%	ギラティナEX ¥1,500,000

📐 How EV is Calculated

Expected Value (EV) = sum of (avg card price × expected pulls per box) for each rarity.

Pull rates per box are community-estimated averages based on 30 packs/box × 5 cards/pack = 150 cards total. For example, "Special Illustration Rare" appears ~0.6 times per box on average.

ROI% = (EV ÷ Box Price − 1) × 100. Positive ROI means statistically profitable on average — but individual boxes vary widely.